Beyond the Box Score recently wrote up their orioles 2007 team preview for the Orioles and while it’s always nice to see a more sabermetrically inclined anaylsis, the final prognosis is the same…..the Orioles aren’t going to be very good in 2007. Great analysis though.
The Orioles avoided arbitration with second baseman Brian Roberts when they locked him up to a one year, $4.2 million deal today. Robert had a monster year in 2005 but an elbow injury slowed him down a bit. Regardless, Roberts is one of the best second basemen in baseball so $4.2 million isn’t all that bad.
PECOTA doesn’t project Brian Roberts very well. The weighted mean average they have is .264/.337/.392 but they have a projected 56% collapse rate. I think he’ll be on the north end of .275, but time will tell.